年轻选民压倒性地支持副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯入主白宫，根据周二新的民意调查来自哈佛肯尼迪学院的政治研究所。
事实上，哈里斯现在在30岁以下的成年人中遥遥领先，在包括一些第三方候选人在内的五方对决中，他以46%对29%的民调领先前总统唐纳德·特朗普17个百分点。民调发现，这一差距在注册选民中扩大，在潜在选民中差距最大——哈里斯在30岁以下的潜在选民中以61%的支持率领先于特朗普的30%。
不过，每位候选人在这一人群中仍有提升支持率的空间:在这场对决中，18%的30岁以下成年人表示，他们还不知道自己会投票给谁。
在一场势均力敌的对决中，哈里斯获得了54%的30岁以下成年人的支持，而特朗普获得了33%的支持。大约十分之一的人说他们还不知道。
“在短短几周内，副总统哈里斯在年轻选民中激起了一股热情，”哈佛民意项目主席阿尼尔·卡科德卡尔在一份声明中说。“哈里斯正享受着个人魅力、政策支持和社交媒体积极影响的完美风暴。”
哈里斯的竞选团队和许多顶级代理人努力接触美国最年轻的选民，部分是通过加入抖音，并参加非传统的采访，包括参加《连线》杂志广受欢迎的采访视频系列.
她的竞选账户“卡玛拉总部”在网上积累了大量追随者，有450多万抖音追随者。她的个人账户也拥有500多万粉丝。
特朗普和他的竞选也试图吸引年轻选民。这位前总统的抖音个人账户有1140万粉丝，他还做客了几个备受瞩目的有影响力的播客，部分原因是为了向年轻人推销自己。
哈佛大学的民调数据也显示，哈里斯的支持率存在性别差距。尽管大多数30岁以下的成年男女仍然支持哈里斯，但女性支持副总统的比例要高得多。
在男性可能选民中，哈里斯的支持率为53%，而特朗普为36%;根据哈佛大学IOP民意调查，在女性选民中，哈里斯有70%的支持率，而特朗普只有23%。
30岁以下的支持者人数激增是在一个夏天之后哈里斯友好模因和互联网现象，以及一些高调的名人代言来自流行巨星泰勒·斯威夫特的卓越祝福他在ABC新闻的总统候选人辩论几小时后支持了哈里斯-瓦尔兹。
哈佛大学IOP民意调查还询问了年轻选民，在一系列问题上他们更信任谁。
在接受调查的18-29岁成年人的全部样本中，特朗普在经济上领先1个百分点，在移民、国家安全和国防以及以色列-哈马斯战争上领先几个百分点，尽管在误差范围内。哈里斯在气候变化和堕胎问题上领先超过30个百分点，在其他一些问题上领先较小。
这项民意调查是由哈佛大学IOP和益普索于9月4日至16日进行的ABC新闻总统辩论9月10日。对于年龄在18-29岁的美国居民的全部样本，该调查的误差幅度为+/-2.65%;可能的选民误差幅度为+/-3.63%;登记选民的误差幅度为+/- 3.08%。
Younger Americans overwhelmingly support Harris -- but both Harris, Trump have room to grow: Poll
oung voters overwhelmingly support Vice President Kamala Harris' bid for the White House,according to new polling out Tuesdayfrom the Institute of Politics at the Harvard Kennedy School.
In fact, Harris now has a resounding lead with adults under 30, dominating former President Donald Trump by 17 points, 46% to 29%, per the poll, in a five-way matchup that includes some third-party candidates. That gap widens among registered voters, and the gulf is largest among likely voters -- Harris leading among likely voters under 30 years old with 61% to Trump's 30%, the poll found.
Each candidate still may have room to grow support among this demographic, however: in that matchup, 18% of adults under 30 said they don't know yet who they'll vote for.
In a head-to-head matchup, Harris has the support of 54% of adults under 30, while Trump has the support of 33%. Around one-in-10 said they don't know yet.
"In just a few weeks, Vice President Harris has drummed up a wave of enthusiasm among young voters," Harvard Public Opinion Project chair Anil Cacodcar said in a statement. "Harris is enjoying a perfect storm of personal appeal, policy support, and positive reach on social media."
Harris' gains come as her campaign and many top surrogates have worked to reach the country's youngest voters, in part by joining TikTok, and engaged in non-traditional interviews, including participating inWIRED magazine's popular interview video series.
Her campaign account "Kamala HQ" has amassed a serious following online, with over 4.5 million TikTok followers. Her personal account boasts more than 5 million followers as well.
Trump and his campaignhave also attempted to reach younger voters. The former president's personal TikTok account reaches 11.4 million followers -- and he's been a guest on several high-profile influencer podcasts, in part to pitch himself to young men.
Harvard's polling data also indicated signs of a gender gap in Harris' support. Although a majority of adult men and women under 30 still support Harris, women support the vice president by much higher margins.
Among male likely voters, Harris has 53% support while Trump has 36%; among female likely voters, Harris has 70% support while Trump has 23%, according to the Harvard IOP poll.
The groundswell of under-30 support follows a summer ofHarris-friendly memesand internet phenomena, alongside a number of high-profile celebrity endorsements, thepreeminent blessing from pop mega-star Taylor Swift, who backed the Harris-Walz ticket hours after the ABC News presidential debate.
The Harvard IOP poll also asked younger voters about who they trust more on a host of issues.
Among the full sample of adults ages 18-29 polled, Trump leads, albeit within the margin of error, by 1 percentage point on the economy and by a few on immigration, national security and defense, and the Israel-Hamas war. Harris leads with a more than 30-point margin on climate change and abortion, with a smaller lead on some other issues.
The poll was conducted by the Harvard IOP and Ipsos from Sept. 4-16, in the field both before and after theABC News presidential debateon Sept. 10. The poll's margin of error is +/- 2.65% for the full sample of U.S. residents ages 18-29; the likely voter margin of error is +/- 3.63%; and for registered voters the margin of error is +/- 3.08%.
